World Cup to Reach the Quarter-Final Odds
For the first time in World Cup history, 48 nations will compete at the 2026 World Cup - traditionally, the tournament has featured 32 nations. This change means there is an additional knockout round after the group stage, making it an even tougher challenge to reach the quarter-final stage.
Below, we have a breakdown of the odds for selected nations to reach the quarter-finals, with insight on their chances of doing so.
World Cup Betting Odds – To Reach The Quarter-Final
Spain to Reach the Quarter-Final -140
France to Reach the Quarter-Final -134
England to Reach the Quarter-Final -120
Argentina to Reach the Quarter-Final +100
Brazil to Reach the Quarter-Final +105
Portugal to Reach the Quarter-Final +125
Germany to Reach the Quarter-Final +150
USA to Reach the Quarter-Final +350
Mexico to Reach the Quarter-Final +400
Canada to Reach the Quarter-Final +600
Which Teams Will Reach the World Cup Quarter-Final?
To reach the quarter-final stage, nations must progress past the group stage, as well as both the round of 32 and the round of 16. There will be eight nations left after these rounds, from an initial 48 teams at the start of the tournament.
Spain to Reach the World Cup Quarter-Final Odds
Odds: -140
Spain are the favorites out of all 48 teams competing in the World Cup to reach the quarter-final stage, despite exiting both of the last two World Cups at the round of 16 stage. In fact, they have only managed to reach the World Cup quarter-final stage once in their previous five World Cups, when they went on to win the tournament in 2010.
France to Reach the World Cup Quarter-Final Odds
Odds: -134
France are next in the market to reach the World Cup quarter-final, and have a much stronger World Cup record in recent tournaments. Les Bleus have reached the quarter-final stage in each of their last three World Cups, losing in the final to Argentina in 2022 and lifting the trophy in 2018.
England to Reach the World Cup Quarter-Final Odds
Odds: -120
Aside from Spain and France, England are the only other nation currently priced at minus odds to reach the quarter-final of the World Cup. The Three Lions have managed this in four of their last six World Cups, they were beaten in the quarter-final in 2022 and lost in the semi-final in 2018.
USA to Reach the World Cup Quarter-Final Odds
Odds: +350
Now, let's assess how the three host nations are priced to reach the quarter-final stage. Starting with USA, who are the favorites to reach the quarter-finals out of the three host nations. USA haven’t achieved this feat in a World Cup since 2002, since then, they have been eliminated in the round of 16 on three occasions, and the group stage once.
Mexico to Reach the World Cup Quarter-Final Odds
Odds: +400
Mexico haven’t reached the quarter-final of a World Cup since 1986, but they have been consistent in progressing from the group stage, having done so in seven of their eight World Cup campaigns since that tournament. One factor that will aid Mexico’s chances is their group, which looks relatively weak on paper, also consisting of South Africa, South Korea, and Czechia.
Canada to Reach the World Cup Quarter-Final Odds
Odds: +600
Canada are the outsiders of the three host nations to reach the quarter-final stage, which is understandable, seeing as they haven’t won a World Cup match in their history, losing all six group games across two appearances at the tournament. However, we have seen host nations perform strongly in the past, including in 2018, when host nation Russia reached the quarter-final stage.