World Cup to Reach the Semi-Final Odds
The World Cup expansion from 32 teams to 48 means it’s harder than ever for nations to reach the semi-final stage, with an additional knockout round in play due to the format change.
Below, we have a breakdown of the odds for selected nations to reach the semi-final, with insight on their chances of doing so.
World Cup Betting Odds – To Reach The semi-Final
Spain to Reach the Semi-Final +125
France to Reach the Semi-Final +150
England to Reach the Semi-Final +185
Argentina to Reach the Semi-Final +225
Brazil to Reach the Semi-Final +225
Portugal to Reach the Semi-Final +250
Germany to Reach the Semi-Final +275
USA to Reach the Semi-Final +900
Mexico to Reach the Semi-Final +1200
Canada to Reach the Semi-Final +1900
Which Teams Will Reach the World Cup Semi-Final?
To reach the semi-final stage, nations must progress past the group stage, as well as the round of 32, round of 16, and the quarter-final. There will be just four nations left after these rounds, from an initial 48 teams at the start of the tournament.
Spain to Reach the World Cup Semi-Final Odds
Odds: +125
Spain, being favorites to win the World Cup, are naturally also the favorites to reach the semi-final stage. They have only managed this twice in their history at World Cups, in 1950, and in 2010 - when they went on to lift the trophy. However, Spain do have recent international success, winning Euro 2024 in impressive style.
France to Reach the World Cup Semi-Final Odds
Odds: +150
France have an excellent World Cup record, reaching the semi-finals seven times in their history. Les Bleus have gone one better and played in the final of the last two World Cups, winning their 2018 final, and losing to Argentina in 2022. France have a star studded roster for the 2026 World Cup and look like they will be difficult to stop.
England to Reach the World Cup Semi-Final Odds
Odds: +185
England are usually one of the favorites for international competitions, despite their lack of success in international football. The Three Lions are third favorites to reach the World Cup semi-final, despite only having done so three times in their history. New manager Thomas Tuchel will be looking for a successful first tournament in charge of England, who managed to reach the Euro 2024 final under Gareth Southgate, before losing to Spain.
Argentina to Reach the World Cup Semi-Final Odds
Odds: +225
Current World Cup champions Argentina are among the favorites to reach the World Cup semi-final stage, too. They have won the World Cup three times in total, including in 2022, and have reached the semi-finals in two of the last three World Cups, losing in the 2014 final. Argentina also reached the quarter-finals in both 2006 and 2010.
Brazil to Reach the World Cup Semi-Final Odds
Odds: +225
Brazil have been consistently strong at recent World Cups, reaching the quarter-final stage or better in all of their most recent eight appearances at the tournament since 1994. Over this period, Brazil have won the World Cup twice, and have been eliminated in the semi-final twice, too. The Selecao have a strong roster for the 2026 World Cup, as well as a legendary manager in Carlo Ancelotti.
Portugal to Reach the World Cup Semi-Final Odds
Odds: +250
Portugal will be looking to improve on their quarter-final exit at the 2022 World Cup, in what is set to be Cristiano Ronaldo’s final World Cup for his nation, aged 41. Portugal haven’t reached the semi-final of the World Cup since 2006, with two round of 16 exits, a group stage exit, and a quarter-final elimination since then. Portugal are another nation with an excellent roster for the tournament, including Ronaldo, Vitinha, Bernardo Silva, Joao Neves, and Ruben Dias.