Uruguay vs Spain Betting Odds, Lineups, Prediction & Best Bets

Uruguay vs Spain Match Summary

This is a World Cup 2026 group-stage decider in Guadalajara, with both Uruguay and Spain chasing the points that settle who advances and who survives on goal difference.

Uruguay sit second in the group on two points after back-to-back draws against Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde. La Celeste need a win to secure qualification.

Spain top the group on four points, fresh off a 4-0 rout of Saudi Arabia and a goalless draw with Cape Verde. A point likely secures their spot in the Round of 32.

History favors Spain heavily here. In recent meetings they have won their last three against Uruguay, scoring at least twice in each of those matches.

Uruguay vs Spain Form

Uruguay arrive winless in competitive play since October 2025, settling for two draws in this tournament — 1-1 with Saudi Arabia and 2-2 with Cape Verde. The goals have come, but the finishing has not closed games out. Winger Maximiliano Araújo has been the standout, contributing directly to all three of Uruguay's goals so far in Mexico.

Spain look the more complete squad. They opened with a goalless draw against Cape Verde before dismantling Saudi Arabia 4-0, and they have yet to concede a single goal in the tournament. Lamine Yamal continues to drive their attack, while Mikel Oyarzabal — who scored a brace in that Saudi Arabia win — gives the frontline a reliable finisher.

Uruguay vs Spain Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Uruguay: Ronald Araújo (Injured/out), Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Injured/out)

Spain: Víctor Muñoz (Injured/doubtful)

Uruguay

Uruguay take a real hit here, with center-back Ronald Araújo and playmaker Giorgian de Arrascaeta both ruled out through injury. Losing Araújo's recovery pace is the bigger concern — it leaves the backline exposed to Spain's quick wide players and forces a reshuffle in central defense.

Spain

Spain are close to full strength, with only Víctor Muñoz a doubt as he works back from a hamstring problem. That leaves the head coach with a settled spine and the freedom to field his strongest attacking options across the front line.

Uruguay vs Spain Predicted Lineup

Uruguay

Formation: 4-3-3

Predicted Starting Lineup: F. Muslera; G. Varela, S. Cáceres, M. Olivera, J. M. Sanabria; R. Bentancur, M. Ugarte, F. Valverde; A. Canobbio, F. Viñas, M. Araújo

Spain

Formation: 4-3-3

Predicted Starting Lineup: U. Simón; P. Porro, P. Cubarsí, A. Laporte, M. Cucurella; Pedri, Rodri, D. Olmo; L. Yamal, M. Oyarzabal, N. Williams

Uruguay vs Spain Key Stats & Match Facts

• Spain have won their last three matches against Uruguay across all competitions.
• Spain have scored at least two goals in each of those last three meetings with Uruguay.
• Spain have not conceded a goal in this tournament, posting shutouts against Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia.
• Uruguay have not recorded a competitive win since October 2025, drawing both of their group games so far.
• Uruguay leaned heavily on crosses in their opener, registering a tournament-high 47 deliveries into the opponent's box.

Uruguay vs Spain Talking Points

The whole match hinges on whether Uruguay's backline can survive without Ronald Araújo. His absence strips away the recovery pace that lets La Celeste press high, leaving the head coach with a tough call — squeeze up the field and risk getting carved open over the top by Yamal and Williams, or sit deeper and give up the aggressive identity that defines his teams.

Spain, meanwhile, have leaned into direct wing play, and if Rodri and Pedri can break Uruguay's man-to-man press, those wide one-on-ones could decide the game. Uruguay's counterpunch runs through Araújo and a midfield three of Valverde, Ugarte, and Bentancur built on muscle and transition rather than a pure creator.

Uruguay vs Spain Predictions FAQs

When is the Uruguay vs Spain World Cup 2026 match?

Uruguay vs Spain kicks off on Friday, June 26, 2026, at 8:00 p.m. ET.

What is the Uruguay vs Spain prediction?

Spain are the likely winners. Their defense has yet to concede in the tournament, they are in sharper attacking form, and they have won each of their last three meetings with Uruguay. With Uruguay missing key defender Ronald Araújo, Spain's quick wide players should find space in behind.

Where can I watch Uruguay vs Spain?

In the U.S., the match airs on FOX and FS1 in English, with Telemundo, Universo, and Peacock offering Spanish-language coverage. In Canada, it is available on CTV and TSN in English and RDS in French.

What is the team news for Uruguay vs Spain?

Uruguay are without Ronald Araújo and Giorgian de Arrascaeta, both sidelined through injury. Spain are nearly at full strength, with only Víctor Muñoz a doubt as he recovers from a hamstring problem.

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