Latest World Cup 2026 Futures Odds to Win - Updated Moneyline Odds Post-Group Stage
With the 2026 World Cup group stages over, 32 nations remain in the tournament. The pathways for each nation have now been confirmed, which has had a major impact on the futures markets for the World Cup.
Argentina, France, Brazil, Spain, England, and USA all remain in the tournament, as do several surprise nations, including Australia, Cape Verde, and DR Congo.
Below, we have a breakdown of the latest odds in the futures winner market for the 2026 World Cup, with insight into selected nations pathways to the final.
World Cup 2026 Futures Odds To Win - Updated
France Moneyline +350
Argentina Moneyline +400
England Moneyline +750
Spain Moneyline +750
Brazil Moneyline +1200
Portugal Moneyline +1300
Netherlands Moneyline +1600
Germany Moneyline +1800
USA Moneyline +3000
Which Nation Will Win the 2026 World Cup?
Given the World Cup expansion to 48 teams, it’s officially harder than ever to win the World Cup, given that teams must now progress through an additional knockout round. To win the tournament, nations must progress past the group stage and then win five knockout ties; the Round of 32, Round of 16, Quarter-final, Semi-final, and Final.
Below, we will assess five nation's chances if lifting the trophy, and their potential pathways to the final at the MetLife Stadium.
France to Win the World Cup Odds
Odds: +350
France have featured in four World Cup finals in their history, with each of these finals coming since 1998. Les Bleus have impressively reached the final in four of the previous seven World Cups, including the last two. France were defeated by Argentina in the 2022 World Cup final, and lifted the trophy themselves in 2018.
After winning their group with nine points, France have set up a game against Sweden in the Round of 32. Win that game, and France will play the winners of Germany vs Paraguay, followed by one of the Netherlands, Morocco, or Canada. Potential Semi-final opponents include Spain or Portugal, with Argentina, England, or Brazil potentially meeting France in the final.
Argentina to Win the World Cup Odds
Odds: +400
Argentina have played in six World Cup finals, with three victories and three final defeats. They are the current champions, having defeated France on penalties in the 2022 World Cup to mark their first World Cup win since 1986. Argentina have reached the final in two of the last three World Cups, losing to Germany in the final in 2014.
Lionel Messi has been the standout player at the World Cup so far, with six goals across three group stage games, including a hat-trick against Algeria. Argentina won all three group games, and have a favorable route to the final, which has seen their price to win the World Cup drop to +400. Argentina will play Cape Verde in the Round of 32, followed by Australia or Egypt in the Round of 16. Potential Quarter-final opponents include Switzerland, Algeria, Colombia, or Ghana. Argentina could face Brazil or England in the Semi-final, and potentially France, Germany, Netherlands, or Spain in the World Cup final.
England to Win the World Cup Odds
Odds: +750
England haven’t played in a World Cup final since 1966 - their sole appearance in the fixture. Since then, England have reached the quarter-final stage on five occasions, and the semi-finals twice. The Three Lions’ roster for the 2026 World Cup is missing several key names, including Cole Palmer, Phil Foden, and Trent Alexander-Arnold, with some brave omissions from new manager Thomas Tuchel. England reached the Euro 2024 final, but this was under the previous manager, Gareth Southgate.
With two wins and a draw from their group games, England progressed as Group L winners, setting up a Round of 32 game against DR Congo. England's potential Round of 16 opponents are Ecuador or Mexico, with Brazil, Japan, Ivory Coast, or Norway in the Quarter-final. Argentina or Colombia are the most likely Semi-final opponents for England, with potential World Cup final opponents including France, Germany, Netherlands, or Spain.
Spain to Win the World Cup Odds
Odds: +750
Perhaps surprisingly, Spain have only reached one World Cup final in their history, from 15 appearances at the tournament. This final came in 2010, where they defeated Netherlands to win their first World Cup. Spain haven’t progressed further than the quarter-final stage in the three tournaments since that victory, but did win Euro 2024, defeating Germany, France, and England along the way.
Spain drew 0-0 with Cape Verde in their opening game at the tournament, but won both of their remaining group games to progress as group winners. Spain were the favorites, along with France, before a soccer ball was kicked at the tournament, but have now gone out to fourth favorites, partly due to their draw. Spain take on Austria in the Round of 32, with Croatia or Portugal awaiting them in the Round of 16. Potential Quarter-final opponents include Belgium or Senegal, with France, Germany, or Netherlands in the Semi-final. Spain could face off against reigning champions Argentina in the final, as well as England or Brazil.
USA to Win the World Cup Odds
Odds: +3000
USA won two of their three Group D games to progress out of the group stages as winners, above Australia, Paraguay, and Turkey. USMNT scored eight goals across their three group stage games, conceding four goals. Group D victory has set up a game with Bosnia & Herzegovina in the Round of 32.
If USMNT defeat Bosnia, they would face one of Belgium or Senegal in the Round of 16. Potential Quarter-final opponents for USA include Spain, Portugal, Croatia, or Austria, with Netherlands, France, and Germany the three most likely Semi-final challengers. Like Spain, USA could face Argentina in the final, as well as Brazil or England.