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Best +EV Bets for England vs Argentina at Fanatics Sportsbook

Fanatics Sportsbook promotional banner: a soccer player in a white number 10 kit prepares to kick the ball on a lit stadium at night; the Fanatics Sportsbook logo and “WORLD CUP 2026” text are shown on the image.

England take on Argentina in a 2026 World Cup semifinal game on Wednesday afternoon, at 3:00 p.m. ET. The winner books a spot in the final of the tournament on Sunday July 19.

Below is a list of the top +EV bets available at Fanatics Sportsbook for England vs Argentina. +EV is short for Positive Expected Value, which indicates that a bet has a better chance of winning that the odds imply, and is a profitable long term betting strategy.

Below are the best +EV bets at Fanatics Sportsbook on England vs Argentina at the 2026 World Cup. Don't have a Fanatics Sportsbook account? Sign up by clicking 'CLAIM NOW' below and get $350 in bonuses when you bet $20.

England vs Argentina Best +EV Bets

Here are the top five +EV bets for England vs Argentina on Wednesday afternoon, with each selection available to wager on at Fanatics Sportsbook.

  • Lionel Messi Anytime Goalscorer +140
  • Harry Kane Anytime Goalscorer +150
  • Leandro Paredes to be Shown a Card +300
  • Anthony Gordon Over 0.5 Shots on Target -115
  • Noni Madueke Over 0.5 Shots on Target +100

The above odds are correct at the time of writing, see below for live odds

What is Expected Value in Sports Betting?

In sports betting, Expected Value (EV) is a measurement of how much profit or loss you can expect to win or lose per bet if you placed the same bet an infinite number of times. Every bet has an EV, with the EV for each bet being Positive (+EV), Negative (-EV), or zero.

Poisitive Expected Value (+EV)

Positive Expected Value indicates that the odds that are being offered on a bet are higher than the probability of the bet winning. This gives the bettor an advantage over the sportsbook, with +EV bets being profitable in the long run.

Negative Expected Value (-EV)

Negative Expected Value indicates that the odds that are being offered on a bet are lower than the probability of the bet winning - usually because the sportsbook takes a vig (a built-in commission or fee that a sportsbook charges to take your bet). This gives the sportsbook an advantage over the bettors, with -EV bets losing you money in the long run.

Zero Expected Value (0 EV)

Zero Expected Value indicates that the odds reflect the true probability of the outcome, meaning you will break even in the long run.